Blair  •  Global Business Insights
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Supply Chain Risk Framework  ·  Buyer Edition

The 5-Layer Supply Chain Risk Checklist

Most China+1 plans move one layer — final assembly. The other four stay exactly where they were. Print it, tick what you can actually prove, and score your product out of 50.

5 Pages 50 Checkpoints 12 Supplier Questions

Free · No email required · A4 print-ready

01

“We moved our factory” is not the same sentence as “we moved our supply chain.”

The question was never which country to choose. It is which layers of your product can actually leave. Three numbers explain why most relocation plans look finished and feel finished — while the risk stays exactly where it was.

1/5

The layer that moves

Final assembly and packaging. The only layer most relocation plans actually touch — and the one that decides the least about your exposure.

4/5

The layers that stay

Materials, tooling, tier-2 components and engineering. Still sourced where they were — still on the same ships, the same molds, the same people.

+

What you actually built

A longer chain, not a safer one. Two countries to manage, two sets of inventory, one origin story you now have to defend.

02

Five layers. Ranked by how hard they are to move.

Risk travels upward. Move layer 5 while layer 3 fails to supply, and you own an empty plant with a shipping schedule.

01
Materials & Special Processes原材料与特种工艺

Plating, anodising and heat treatment are a one-hour-drive industry in the Pearl River Delta. Elsewhere they are a flight.

Hardest to move
02
Tooling, Molds & Machinery设备与模具

The mold can be shipped. The mold shop, the steel grade and the spare parts cannot.

Dual-source
03
Critical Components & Tier-2核心零部件与二级供应商

Your new plant can be spotless and still assemble parts that ship from China. That is not a moved supply chain.

Where 90% of plans fail
04
Engineering & Skilled Labour工程与技工

Yield lives in people, not in drawings. Why 118 A on that weld, why 210 °C on that die — it is in someone’s hands.

Dual-source
05
Assembly & Packaging总装与包装

The only layer most companies actually move — and the layer that decides the least about your risk.

Genuinely relocatable
03

Fifty checkpoints. Four verdicts.

Ten boxes per layer. A box only counts if you can show the document behind it. Your score is not an opinion — it is a count.

40 – 50
Real move

Genuinely relocatable. Execute in full. Rare in practice: simple products, flat supply base, mature ecosystem.

30 – 39
Partial move

Move L5. Dual-source L3 and L4. New site 60–70%, China keeps 30–40% as backup and fast-response capacity.

20 – 29
Nominal move

You moved the last process only. Risk has not fallen — it has become dispersed and more expensive.

0 – 19
Do not move

Deep process dependency. Put the money into second-source qualification and inventory resilience instead.

The combination that decides it: if L1 and L3 score 5 or less while L5 scores 8 or more, your real structure is Chinese sub-assembly, foreign final assembly. That can work — but write it into your origin analysis honestly, hold more buffer stock rather than less, and name the shortage liability in the contract.

04

What is inside the PDF

Five pages, no theory. Every page is something you can hand to a supplier, a plant manager or your own team.

P.01

The map at a glance

Five layers, ranked by difficulty, with the one honest test for each.

P.02

Layers 1 & 2 checklists

Materials and special processes; tooling, molds and machinery. Twenty boxes.

P.03

Layers 3 & 4 checklists

Critical components and tier-2; engineering and skilled labour. Twenty boxes.

P.04

Layer 5, score & decision

The last ten boxes, the scoring sheet, and the MOVE / DUAL-SOURCE / STAY matrix.

P.05

12 supplier questions

A ready-to-send RFI, with the one thing to watch in each answer.

P.05

Five cautions

The five mistakes that make a relocation plan look finished before it is.

05

Three of the twelve questions

Copy them into a formal RFI and watch how long the first one takes to answer. That tells you more than the answer itself.

01
Full BOM, including tier-2 supplier names and plant cities.
Watch for · speed of reply
02
Which parts are single-source? What is the alternative model?
Watch for · a real alternative, or a guess
12
Can we enter your plant unannounced within 2 hours — in writing?
Watch for · the one they cannot bluff
06

Score your product before you sign the lease.

One PDF. Five pages. Fifty boxes. It takes about twenty minutes and it will tell you whether the move is real — or whether you are about to build a second plant around the same supply chain.

Free download

The 5-Layer Supply Chain Risk Checklist

A4, print-ready. English. Includes the 50-point checklist, the scoring sheet, the decision matrix and the 12-question supplier RFI.

Download the PDF

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About

Blair — Global Sourcing Architect

Twelve Canton Fairs, buyers and factories on both sides of the table. I audit supply chains for brands that are deciding whether to stay, move or dual-source — and I write down what the brochures leave out.

Sourcing smarter for a brighter tomorrow.