Blair • Global Business Insights
Vol. 01
Supply Chain Risk Framework · Buyer Edition

The 5-Layer Supply Chain Risk Checklist

Most China+1 plans move one layer — final assembly. The other four stay exactly where they were. Print it, tick what you can prove, score your product out of 50.

5 Pages
50 Points
12 Questions
Download the checklist

Free · No email · Print-ready A4

01

“We moved our factory” is not the same sentence as “we moved our supply chain.”

1/5
The layer that movesFinal assembly and packaging — the only layer most plans actually touch.
4/5
The layers that stayMaterials, tooling, tier-2 parts, engineering. Still on the same ships and the same molds.
+
What you builtA longer chain, not a safer one. Two countries to manage, two inventories, one origin story to defend.
02

Five layers, ranked by how hard they are to move.

Risk travels upward. Move layer 5 while layer 3 fails to supply, and you own an empty plant with a shipping schedule.

01

Materials & Special Processes

Plating, anodising and heat treatment are a one-hour-drive industry in the Pearl River Delta. Elsewhere they are a flight.

02

Tooling, Molds & Machinery

The mold can be shipped. The mold shop, the steel grade and the spare parts cannot.

03

Critical Components & Tier-2

Your new plant can be spotless and still assemble parts that ship from China. That is not a moved supply chain.

04

Engineering & Skilled Labour

Yield lives in people, not drawings. Why 118 A on that weld, why 210 °C on that die — it is in someone’s hands.

05

Assembly & Packaging

The only layer most companies actually move — and the layer that decides the least about your risk.

03

Fifty checkpoints. Four verdicts.

Ten boxes per layer. A box only counts if you can show the document behind it.

40–50
Real move

Genuinely relocatable. Execute in full. Rare in practice.

30–39
Partial move

Move L5. Dual-source L3 and L4. China keeps 30–40%.

20–29
Nominal move

Last process only. Risk dispersed, not reduced.

0–19
Do not move

Deep process dependency. Fund resilience instead.

If L1 and L3 score 5 or less while L5 scores 8 or more, your real structure is Chinese sub-assembly, foreign final assembly. That can work — but write it into your origin analysis honestly.

04

What is inside

P.01

The map at a glance

Five layers, ranked, with the one honest test for each.
P.02

Layers 1 & 2

Materials; tooling, molds and machinery. Twenty boxes.
P.03

Layers 3 & 4

Critical components and tier-2; engineering. Twenty boxes.
P.04

Layer 5, score & decision

The last ten boxes and the MOVE / DUAL / STAY matrix.
P.05

12 supplier questions

A ready-to-send RFI, with what to watch in each answer.
05

Two of the twelve questions

01
Full BOM, including tier-2 supplier names and plant cities.
Watch for · speed of reply
12
Can we enter your plant unannounced within 2 hours — in writing?
Watch for · the one they cannot bluff
06

Score your product before you sign the lease.

One PDF. Five pages. Fifty boxes. About twenty minutes.

Free download

The 5-Layer Supply Chain Risk Checklist

A4, print-ready. Checklist, scoring sheet, decision matrix and the 12-question RFI.

Download the PDF

No email · No signup · Just the file

Blair — Global Sourcing Architect

Twelve Canton Fairs, buyers and factories on both sides of the table. I audit supply chains for brands deciding whether to stay, move or dual-source.

Sourcing smarter for a brighter tomorrow.

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5-Layer Risk Checklist PDF · 5 pages · free
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